parents: My Principles
My thinking process
- Define the things we talk about.
- Process → Output → Outcome → Impact
- Process = how we work; Output = what we ship; Outcome = effect on users/field; Impact = durable change in the world.
- If creation is the GOAL
- A clear goal can push publishing.
- When the environment is measurable, controllable and with short feedback loops, output target align resources.
- On the other hand, Goodhart Law remind us that once a measure becomes a target, it stops being a good measure.
- Therefore pair targets with counter-mertrics.
- Like retention and reliability floor.
- Therefore pair targets with counter-mertrics.
- If creation is the BY-PRODUCT
- In creative areas, volume raises the odds of peak work
- Beethoven’s leave around 8000 pages of sketches.
- Stephen King’s 2000 words daily quota.
- Luhmann’s Zettelkasten → 70+ books and 400+ papers.
- Equal-Odds Rule
- Hot streak pattern (clustered high-impact periods).
- To sustain a lot of work, a good system and high-quality process is necessary.
- External pressure or validation is necessary to avoid self-referential loops.
- Some time pressure helps: Darwin accelerated after Wallace’s 1858 letter.
- In creative areas, volume raises the odds of peak work
My conclusion
- Whether creation is the goal or the by-product depends on the uncertainty.
- Low uncertainty: creation = goal.
- Use traid metrics: output, outcome and counter-metric.
- High certainty: creation = by-products.
- Build system to raise productivity and ensure process quality.
- Low uncertainty: creation = goal.
- Use outcome to check the process.
Questions
- How to evaluate quality of process?